Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.479625 0.550360 0.627211 0.716819 0.818336 0.929679 1.060961
2025-02-16 0.348759 0.439180 0.546064 0.681353 0.847630 1.044901 1.296248
2025-02-23 0.265166 0.363786 0.489724 0.661455 0.888535 1.177404 1.571470
2025-03-02 0.207050 0.307564 0.445396 0.646591 0.930844 1.315802 1.873863
2025-03-09 0.169447 0.270827 0.419217 0.649645 0.995205 1.490095 2.247264
2025-03-16 0.137460 0.235394 0.387773 0.638410 1.035537 1.634160 2.596104
2025-03-23 0.117853 0.214999 0.374821 0.651772 1.112869 1.840463 3.061767
2025-03-30 0.098366 0.190728 0.351024 0.642943 1.152275 1.991325 3.458363
2025-04-06 0.085409 0.175255 0.339083 0.651376 1.220083 2.194286 3.961621
2025-04-13 0.071409 0.154967 0.314925 0.633778 1.239122 2.316059 4.340430
2025-04-20 0.064536 0.147287 0.312754 0.655987 1.332112 2.575758 4.987576
2025-04-27 0.059248 0.141816 0.313837 0.684236 1.439427 2.872194 5.732143
2025-05-04 0.052219 0.131401 0.303593 0.689042 1.503419 3.098568 6.378410
2025-05-11 0.045642 0.120693 0.290973 0.686980 1.553358 3.303964 7.008522
2025-05-18 0.040163 0.111469 0.280045 0.686824 1.607107 3.522808 7.689537
2025-05-25 0.035279 0.102688 0.268610 0.683662 1.653742 3.732090 8.373798
2025-06-01 0.031865 0.097017 0.263583 0.694536 1.732829 4.017604 9.246887
2025-06-08 0.027967 0.089165 0.251797 0.687240 1.769079 4.214715 9.951681
2025-06-15 0.025706 0.085481 0.250028 0.704497 1.865355 4.554023 11.001900
2025-06-22 0.022675 0.078821 0.239204 0.696788 1.899847 4.757245 11.768127
2025-06-29 0.020693 0.074961 0.235380 0.706996 1.980302 5.075055 12.828485
2025-07-06 0.017987 0.068124 0.221887 0.688658 1.985043 5.213962 13.484378
2025-07-13 0.016915 0.066531 0.223507 0.713090 2.105533 5.645531 14.881759